GENIUS Act: the 3-week countdown that will reshape the stablecoin market

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By TP

Regulatory sprint. July 18, 2026 is fast approaching, and with it the deadline set by the GENIUS Act, the American law which regulates stablecoins for the first time at the federal level. Passed just a year ago, this law requires the regulators concerned to finalize their application rules within a specific deadline. Except that this deadline is coming now, and the six federal agencies responsible for writing these rules have yet to tune their violins. A bureaucratic high-flying exercise that will directly shape the way tens of billions of dollars of stablecoins will circulate in the United States in the months to come.

The key points of this article:

The GENIUS Act was passed to regulate stablecoins at the federal level in the United States, imposing a regulatory sprint for six agencies before July 18, 2026. This regulatory framework could transform the stablecoin market, forcing players to navigate a rapidly evolving legal landscape.


Six agencies, a deadline and a race against time

The text is clear on paper: the GENIUS Act, signed into law July 18, 2025requires that the implementing regulations be published no later than one year after the entry into force of the law, i.e. July 18, 2026. On the ground, this means that the OCC, the regulator of American national banks), the FDIC, the National Credit Union Administration, the Treasury Department, FinCEN, the anti-money laundering agency, and OFAC (the agency in charge of economic sanctions) must each complete their copy before this date. An agreement that seems as complicated as this list. The recent calendar also gives an idea of ​​the pressure. As detailed by the US Treasury in its press release, the proposed rules aimed at countering illicit financing via stablecoins were the subject of a public consultation which closed at the beginning of June 2026. The OCC, for its part, had published its own draft regulation in its dedicated bulletin, with a comment period ending on May 1, 2026. Result: at the beginning of July 2026, the six agencies find themselves having to simultaneously finalize six distinct regulatory frameworks in the space of a few weeks, with the very real risk that certain texts will be late or remain deliberately vague on points of friction.

What really happens behind the paperwork

It would be tempting to brush this deadline aside by relegating it to the rank of an administrative incident. That would be a mistake. THE GENIUS Act defines who has the right to issue a stablecoin in the United Stateshow the reserves that guarantee it must be composed and audited, and under what supervision issuers must operate. Concretely, this conditions the future of players like Circle, issuer of USDC, or Tether, issuer of USDT, but also that of all the new entrants, banks, fintechs, even consortiums of tech giants, who have been eyeing this market since the law established a clear legal framework where there previously existed a legal vacuum that was comfortable for some, dissuasive for others. The date of July 18, however, is not the great evening for the effective application of the law. The text provides that the regime comes into full force on the first of the following two deadlines: 18 months after promulgation, i.e. January 18, 2027, or 120 days after publication of the final rules. In other words, even if regulators complete their texts on time on July 18, stablecoin issuers will still have several months to comply before the new obligations become fully enforceable. Milestone Deadline Promulgation of the GENIUS Act July 18, 2025 End of OCC public comment May 1, 2026 End of public comment Treasury/FinCEN/OFAC Beginning of June 2026 Legal deadline for final rules July 18, 2026 Effective entry into force (at the latest) January 18, 2027 Source: OCC and U.S. Department of the Treasury, 2026.

A framework that structures, but does not yet decide everything

Ce three-week regulatory sprint will not put an end to the debate on the regulation of stablecoins : it will rather open a new phase, one where players in the sector will have to read between the lines of six potentially disparate texts to anticipate their real obligations. The real battle will then be played out, between July 18, 2026 and January 18, 2027, when issuers will have to prove that they can comply with a strict federal framework without losing their competitive advantage against competitors operating from more permissive jurisdictions. The stablecoin market, long accustomed to moving faster than its regulators, will have to learn to walk at the same pace as them. A situation which is strongly reminiscent of what Europe experienced with MiCA: the transition from a largely self-regulated crypto market to a sector governed by federal or European ruleswith precise deadlines and concrete obligations. While MiCA is already in the application phase, the GENIUS Act will require stablecoin issuers to comply with a new American standard in the coming months. For industry players, the days of being able to move faster than regulators are clearly coming to an end.